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mercoledì 8 aprile 2015

The implications of the meeting between Russia and Greece

What is the significance of the meeting in Moscow between Prime Minister Putin and greek Tsipras? This is not only a meeting of institutional courtesy, but a summit involving two countries that at the moment they need each other, even indirectly. On the one hand, Russia has the need to break the international isolation in which it is subjected by the USA and the European Union, on the other end Greece is desperate to find alternative means to save themselves from the crisis. Between the two countries there are very close ties, which are based on similarities historical, cultural and above all religious: the growing importance that the Orthodox Church is playing in Russian society since Putin at the top of the country, seems to be a reason to close very strong. From the point of view of Moscow Greece could be a chance to create a breach within Europe, in the case of an agreement on economic issues, the ground seems to already fertile, the positions of the government of Athens on the penalties to Russia of opposition and are deemed unnecessary and counterproductive. However, analysts believe that Moscow can help Athens difficult in a hearty, the condition of the Russian economic crisis of the country, caused by the sanctions and the decline in oil prices, would prevent Putin to provide large quantities of Greek liquidity. Moreover, the official position of the finance minister of Greece is that the issue of the greek debt must be resolved internally in Europe. But this view is not shared by all Greek politicians, the interior minister said expressly, that in the absence of an agreement with Brussels, there is no other solution than trying elsewhere the help you need. The scenario, then, is far from stable and is made even opposite trends, which should be properly assessed by the most important members of the European Union, for the fallout that could produce internationally. The current conditions favoring cooperation that is convenient to both countries, in this particular historical moment, a kind of closeness that can disrupt the plans of foreign policy of the West, having within itself a critical voice able to do falter even those countries, which, especially for economic reasons wish to adopt a more soft to Russia, including through the lifting of sanctions, which have negative impacts on economies already contracted. For Merkel and even more for Obama, need a united front without defections, that attitude, however, could greek crack. Even without substantial financial aid, it comes to discounts on the supply of materials related to energy production, Russia could get with a collaboration with Greece, considerable results in terms of breaking the isolation to which it is subjected. For this reason Putin will try to take advantage, in terms of image, the visit of Prime Minister greek, much more important, even for the current circumstances, with respect to the support received from Serbia and Hungary. If Moscow intended to go so far as to buy securities and Greek bonds, obtaining contracts and activities in the Hellenic country, together with the international visibility due, in exchange could have a commitment made in the first person from Athens to work in the Ukrainian issue for Russia, together with Greece could put pressure on Berlin stimulating all those people who are against the policy of rigor imposed by Germany, reaching even to compromise its leadership. Such cases are more and more concrete, when you consider that the positions of those who want to mitigate the sanctions to Russia, often coincide with those who took the harshest criticism towards the German supremacy in the development of economic policies that is under the ' European Union. It is, therefore, in front of another reason that has to put in place some sort of preventive tactic to prevent a rift within in Brussels, through an intervention of relief rigor came to the need to recognize how wrong financial policies conducted so far , to undertake a substantial change of address, both against Greece that of all other economies forced to sacrifice unjustified.

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