Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 16 novembre 2015
Obama and Putin meet for the solution of the Syrian problem
During
the summit in Antalya, for the G20 countries, the presidents of Russia
and the US have had a meeting, which was reaffirmed the need to combat
the Islamic state and to resolve the situation in Syria, it had made
more urgent after ' attack Paris. If
there is an agreement on general reasons to eradicate the caliphate,
remain rai two states, significant differences tactics and policies, to
get to the goal. The
encounter would release similar views on the need to find ways for a
Syrian political transition in the country, although the figure of Assad
are many differences. The
only thing certain is that with the presence of Russian troops on
Syrian soil, the dictator of Damascus we can not envisage a violent end,
as happened to Gaddafi, in extreme cases, Moscow has called several
times favorable to host Assad in a safe exile. Is
more complicated, however, reach an agreement between Obama and Putin
about a possible participation at the negotiating table, that sooner or
later they will start on the future of Syria, of the same Assad, whose
presence is above all a guarantee for his followers, who do not They are few. Assad has repeatedly said it wants to participate in the country's future Syrian, and take part in elections; his
presence, as well as in Moscow is welcome in Tehran, while the US and
its Sunni allies are a ouster of Assad from public life. The
problem is that between the US and Sunni allies, Turkey and Saudi
Arabia, in the foreground, there is an agreement on the future of Syria
and this is a good chance to, at least, the participation of Assad to
the peace negotiations. The
much-cited political transition, in fact, does not mean that Assad is
playing out, but you find a way to reconcile all the parties involved,
outside of the Islamic state. In
fact, the defeat of the caliphate is, at this time, and indeed, even
more so at this time, the aim of Obama, who in order to reach praised
the Russian action against the forces of the caliphate. Despite
deep differences, in fact, for the US the contribution of Moscow,
especially if released from protection Assad, it was considered valuable
to hit and weaken the Islamist forces. To
overcome the terrorist emergency it is felt that the essential starting
point is to stabilize Syria, the first step of this plan is to push
back the boundaries of country the Islamic state, at the same time, in a
period estimated at 18 months, should fulfilled
the political transition, through negotiations between the United
Nations, the democratic opposition and the Assad regime. To
get to the end of this path with a successful result it is necessary to
achieve a ceasefire and certain long-term, which is impossible to get
without having defeated the forces of the caliphate. So
the two action plans, military and diplomatic one must go hand in hand,
with an acceleration of the war to eliminate the presence of the
Islamic state from Syrian territory. This
urgent situation is likely, once again, to benefit Assad, whose
presence has moved into the background by the urgency of defeating the
caliphate and this will allow it to consolidate its position, already
more difficult to undermine the presence of the Russians. In
any case the meeting between Putin and Obama should be considered a
factor and a positive development in the matter, to find that
understanding common necessary, also of minimum bases for the defeat of
Islamic terrorism.
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