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lunedì 16 novembre 2015

Obama and Putin meet for the solution of the Syrian problem

During the summit in Antalya, for the G20 countries, the presidents of Russia and the US have had a meeting, which was reaffirmed the need to combat the Islamic state and to resolve the situation in Syria, it had made more urgent after ' attack Paris. If there is an agreement on general reasons to eradicate the caliphate, remain rai two states, significant differences tactics and policies, to get to the goal. The encounter would release similar views on the need to find ways for a Syrian political transition in the country, although the figure of Assad are many differences. The only thing certain is that with the presence of Russian troops on Syrian soil, the dictator of Damascus we can not envisage a violent end, as happened to Gaddafi, in extreme cases, Moscow has called several times favorable to host Assad in a safe exile. Is more complicated, however, reach an agreement between Obama and Putin about a possible participation at the negotiating table, that sooner or later they will start on the future of Syria, of the same Assad, whose presence is above all a guarantee for his followers, who do not They are few. Assad has repeatedly said it wants to participate in the country's future Syrian, and take part in elections; his presence, as well as in Moscow is welcome in Tehran, while the US and its Sunni allies are a ouster of Assad from public life. The problem is that between the US and Sunni allies, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, in the foreground, there is an agreement on the future of Syria and this is a good chance to, at least, the participation of Assad to the peace negotiations. The much-cited political transition, in fact, does not mean that Assad is playing out, but you find a way to reconcile all the parties involved, outside of the Islamic state. In fact, the defeat of the caliphate is, at this time, and indeed, even more so at this time, the aim of Obama, who in order to reach praised the Russian action against the forces of the caliphate. Despite deep differences, in fact, for the US the contribution of Moscow, especially if released from protection Assad, it was considered valuable to hit and weaken the Islamist forces. To overcome the terrorist emergency it is felt that the essential starting point is to stabilize Syria, the first step of this plan is to push back the boundaries of country the Islamic state, at the same time, in a period estimated at 18 months, should fulfilled the political transition, through negotiations between the United Nations, the democratic opposition and the Assad regime. To get to the end of this path with a successful result it is necessary to achieve a ceasefire and certain long-term, which is impossible to get without having defeated the forces of the caliphate. So the two action plans, military and diplomatic one must go hand in hand, with an acceleration of the war to eliminate the presence of the Islamic state from Syrian territory. This urgent situation is likely, once again, to benefit Assad, whose presence has moved into the background by the urgency of defeating the caliphate and this will allow it to consolidate its position, already more difficult to undermine the presence of the Russians. In any case the meeting between Putin and Obama should be considered a factor and a positive development in the matter, to find that understanding common necessary, also of minimum bases for the defeat of Islamic terrorism.

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