Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 1 giugno 2017
The political meanings of the agreement between China and Europe on climate
One
of the effects of Trump's policy, pursuing a plan to foster American
interests, but without seeking mediation with other international
subjects, was to bring China and the European Union closer together. This
new scenario can not be welcomed by the White House, which, with the
new administration, identifies Beijing as the most dangerous opponent in
the geopolitical and economic scenario. China's
approach to Brussels thus becomes a particular unforeseen situation,
which Trump and its staff have been unable to foresee and potentially
represent a defeat, which, in addition to emerging in the short term,
promises strongly negative developments in the medium to long term if
the Use will not correct the direction taken. The
new American president, in the desire to destroy all the work of the
predecessor, has decided to pursue a political line without mediation,
both internally and externally; But
if the republican majority in both the US parliamentary branches
guarantees at least for now a very ambitious margin of maneuver, the
White House's political action on the international scene can not fail
to find very difficult obstacles to overcome. Probably
Trump believed that his action without mediation would have been
passively suffered, especially by the American allies, an unexpected
predicament, caused by apparent incompetence, which seems to go hand in
hand with the absence of a predetermined plan of conduct in the field of
international relations. The
damage that Trump's presidency is likely to do in this area is likely
to become a serious problem for the future role the US will want to
keep, and in any case, even if at first, Trump's presidency is destined
to have an end and those who It will replace the risk of having to reconstruct relationships with the allies from a very low level of relationships. Trying
to destroy the European Union, altering free trade, and imposing a
vision of the world's only favorable attitude to the White House without
mediation and concessions can lead the United States to an isolation
from which it will be difficult to regain the country's role Up to President Obama. In
this scenario, the bilateral agreement that Beijing and Brussels intend
to sign on the issue of climate, precisely to limit the effects of the
American outcry from the Paris agreement, takes on a particularly
peculiar value, which is the first tangible proof of the deportation of
Europe From the traditional American ally. The
fact that the agreement signed with China, as well as on environmental
matters, could also cover matters relating to security, investment,
defense and immigration means that Brussels is trying to open new
channels for its own development As
an alternative to the US and who is trying to do it in an autonomous
way, as a subject seeking a place of primary importance on the
international scene. However,
this may be a risk not to be underestimated, because it is necessary to
keep in mind that China is a superpower that is not governed by a
democracy, a country where the consideration of civil and political
rights is very low and these factors may create misunderstandings,
including Remarkable, between the two parties. In
any case, a road appears to be traced and if there is a common
understanding on issues such as the climate of Europe and China, this
can be conducive to favoring a different Chinese attitude on rights
issues in a common framework of development reciprocal. The
fact remains that the United States should feel embarrassed by this
unprecedented convergence, which is a sort of hostile act against them, a
hostile act, but it represents a more than justified reaction to a
policy that is too much based on the single interest in issues Where it is necessary to seek mediation rather than a confrontational attitude. This
understanding also means to warn Washington to continue the current
international politics and also to announce the official opening of a
hostility towards the new US President, who had been reported by several
European countries' illnesses. China, for its part, has been able to exploit this situation and become part of that vacuum that Trump is creating; This
is also a guarantee for both parties - China and Europe - for trade
developments in both directions, which could be increased if the US were
to follow Trump's election promises to implement a protectionist
policy. If the United States wants to lock itself in, the globalized world will go inexorably.
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