Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 30 marzo 2018
France sides with Syrian Kurds
The
story of the poisoning of the former Russian spy, which took place in
English territory, provoked an almost unanimous response in the western
part. The
US, despite President Trump's feelings toward Putin, expelled the
largest amount of Russian diplomatic staff, sixty people, and closed the
Seattle consulate, because it was too close to American industries of
national interest. This
attitude shows how, despite the many changes in the US government, the
powers that remain in their position against the Kremlin are still
important in the US political landscape. For
the time being, the Russian response has remained limited to the
threats of a symmetrical response, which should not be long in coming,
against all those states that used the expulsions of Moscow's diplomatic
staff. The
Russian government has repeatedly stated that the Western attitude
reveals a deep sentiment against Russia and that the risk of toning in
the Cold War is increasingly concrete. On
the other hand it was from the period of the invasion of Crimea that
Russia was not subjected to such a diplomatic offensive. One
of the aspects that surely Putin did not expect and that reveals, for
his part, the great errors of evaluation, was a response so uniform by
the Western countries. However,
there are two nations that have not joined the diplomatic response to
the poisoning of London: Austria, a member of the European Union and
Turkey, a member of the Atlantic Alliance. These are two defections that need to be carefully assessed for the relative political implications that they may cause. In the government of Vienna there is a nationalist formation that has very close ties with Putin's party; the
motivation is not to interrupt a relationship of friendship between the
two countries, which could be an important channel to reopen the
dialogue between Russia and the West: this motivation does not convince
analysts, who see in the proximity between the political formations of
the two countries a sort of bond due to the proximity of the ideals of control of society and of restricted democracy. It
is a dangerous precedent within the European Union, which could favor a
similar attitude of other states governed by forms that were said to be
close to Putin's policy. At
the same time, the Austrian government seems to lend itself to becoming
a sort of privileged place for Putin's action against Europe, an action
marked by the will to aim to divide Brussels members as much as
possible. The
story once again points to the need for a common action in European
foreign policy, which should not admit defections by member states. As for Turkey, the failure to sanction Russia is a further sign of how far Ankara is away from the Atlantic Alliance. The
reasons for Turkish behavior lie in the closeness that the Ankara
government has established with Moscow, for its mutual interests in
Syria, a factor that has contributed to further worsening relations with
the United States. The
attitude of Turkey, not only in this specific case, is an element to be
assessed on Erdogan's true loyalty to the Atlantic Alliance and leads
to questioning what are now the reasons of convenience for the other
member states on the Turkish permanence. within the Alliance. In
both cases, both for the European Union and for the Atlantic Alliance,
the time seems to come to introduce reforms capable of sanctioning those
who remain within a supranational organization only for reasons of
interest and do not adapt to common policies. Countries
like Putin's Russia have focused a lot on these weaknesses to divide
Western countries for their geopolitical interests and this type of
actions could increase if this lack of common defense remains.
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