Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 16 marzo 2018
The ambiguous international politics of Russia
The
British story on the attack on the former Russian spy, reveals all the
weaknesses of Moscow, forced to exercise increasingly extreme solutions,
to try to bring havoc within the Western coalition. Putin
is struggling with an election that seems obvious: the reconfirmation
in his role as Russian president is little more than a formality, making
the question more and more legitimate if the political system of Russia
is a democracy or, rather, a degeneration. Despite
the broad internal consensus, in the country there are substantial
parts of dissent to which, beyond the repression, must be applied the
usual scheme that plans to shift attention to international events. Presenting
Russia as persecuted by Western powers is largely in this mode, now
widely predictable, but to a public opinion sensitive to national pride,
such as Russian, the perception of Western persecution is instrumental
for those who want to stand up as a champion of the defense of national values. Yet perhaps the Western reactions to the London affair had not been calculated in the right ways; if,
in addition to internal reasons, the project was to divide the western
front, perhaps in preparation for new international challenges, the
reaction of the West went against the Kremlin's forecasts. What
for the United Kingdom was an attack on its sovereignty was perceived
by other governments as a possibility that could also occur in their
territories and this has raised the level of solidarity for London,
succeeding in provoking a union of intentions in countries always more distant. Connected
to the question of whether there is an effective democracy in Russia,
considerations have been made, about the incident, which have compared
the present Russian country to its Soviet ancestor, which used to strike
its enemies abroad with the dual purpose of warning dissidents both inside and outside the Soviet Union. Now
such a way of acting, which, as already said, is in open violation of
the other national sovereignty, constitutes, as has happened, also a
danger for civil citizens who have been put at risk by the chemical
agent employed. On
the other hand, this eventuality can not not be considered and
therefore constitutes an attack on the civilian population of another
state. What
appears is a Russia that is increasingly similar to the Soviet empire,
both internationally, thanks to increasingly controversial ways of
acting in contempt of international law, and in the internal field where
the repression of dissension is the rule and social inequality it is always greater. The
picture that emerges is that of an increasingly less reliable nation,
which, however, holds a permanent seat in the UN Security Council, now
used as an instrument for its purposes of international politics. The
Russian model of behavior seems to represent the real emergency on the
international level, because it focuses on the systematic transgression
of international law and the failure to respect the sovereignty of the
states, implemented either through conventional methods, or alternative
methods, related to new technologies, such as attacks informatics, whose purpose is to exert an occult influence in the internal affairs of foreign nations. The
relevant figure is that Moscow seems to be characterized by a
wide-ranging action that aims to alter the internal balance of third
countries by increasing the internal contrast between the political and
social forces. Until
now, the perception of Russia has been very clear in Western countries,
but it has been attenuated by those political forces that received aid
and funding from Moscow, just because they presented themselves as
anti-system and by those social parties that enjoyed interests. economic interests, thanks to relations with Russia. These
sentiments are still very present in Western countries and are the main
means used by Putin to carry out his disturbing action. Western
disdain was to materialize first, for example with the civilian victims
of the Russian bombing in Syria or with the interference in American or
other political elections. The
Russian action, which is protracting too far outside its borders, must
be countered by having the awareness that it represents a danger for
democracies and the peaceful development of international relations and
the isolation of Moscow must be the first step necessary to counter the action of the Government of Russia.
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