Sunni danger to Israel

 The next objective of Israel's political and military strategy shifts from the Shiite to the Sunni horizon. Tel Aviv, through statements by various politicians, including high-profile ones, has explicitly threatened Turkey, calling it the new Iran and subjugating it to Qatar, both accused of seeking to extend their influence from Syria to the entire Middle East. The presence of over twenty thousand Turkish troops in Syria represents an obstacle to the further expansionist objective that Tel Aviv has set itself, after Lebanon. The impossibility of military conflict thus shifts to a diplomatic one, and concerns not only Turkey and Qatar; the broader objective is to prevent a more compact and cohesive coalition of Sunni countries, including Egypt and Saudi Arabia, the latter of which appears to have escaped the temptation of the Abraham Accords, precisely because of Israel's unscrupulous military operations. The effects of the downsizing of Iran and its allies have ultimately fostered a resurgence of Sunni political views. Although there are some differences of opinion, they share a strategic and geopolitical interest in limiting Israel's role in the region in favor of a new prominence in the Middle East. This has resulted in a consequent restriction of the military freedom Israel has arrogated to itself with its occupation doctrine in Lebanon, following the ongoing carnage in Gaza. Among the Sunni allies, among others, is Pakistan, another player striving to assume ever greater international prominence. However, Tel Aviv's greatest concern is Turkey, both for the capacity of its military and its ambition to be the driving force of the Sunni coalition, but above all, for its membership in the Atlantic Alliance, which makes a possible attack, even a threatened one, by Israel against Turkey virtually impossible. Furthermore, relations between Trump and Erdogan are currently excellent, greatly complicating Israel's ambitions. Certainly, an attack on Ankara would test the strength of the Atlantic Alliance, already compromised by the American president. However, engaging in a head-on confrontation with Europe should also be a good deterrent against Tel Aviv's contemptuous attitudes. It remains, however, an option not to be underestimated and to be carefully considered by a state that has practically become the protagonist, in a negative way, of self-referential policies in the field of international law and the indiscriminate use of weapons. With the possible creation of this Sunni alliance, the Palestinian question would practically return to the forefront, given the Sunni countries' at least declared support for a resolution favoring a Palestinian state. Also to be considered are the significant economic resources of oil-producing countries, which they could allocate to the reconstruction of Gaza and the liberation of the West Bank settlements, thus enhancing their prestige among all Sunni countries and, more generally, among world public opinion, which has isolated Israel, unfortunately only morally. Nor should we overlook the influence that Turkey's international prominence would have on the domestic scene, where Erdogan is facing growing difficulties, which he has always sought to resolve through international politics rather than domestic action, based on repression and the suppression of dissent. Beyond the domestic implications, which will in any case be monitored and closely monitored, it will be necessary to monitor developments in Israeli domestic politics to determine the direction it could take, especially if the current government were defeated. The US vice president's threats against Tel Aviv were a first for the Washington government, which so far has not had the desired effect, but they have set a significant precedent. If further developments occur, combined with the emergence of the Sunni bloc, they are a dangerous warning for Israel: how it will react remains to be seen.