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giovedì 25 luglio 2013

Egypt increasingly in crisis

The two opposing political camps are prepared both to demonstrate in the streets of Egypt. What is coming will be a crucial weekend for Egypt as the leaders of the two parties have called upon their supporters to provide clear support for their political party. Despite some calls to march peacefully, it is easy to make the prediction that the rallies in the square will not remain without consequences. On the one hand there are the Muslim Brotherhood, claiming their right to rule, achieved thanks to the election result, on the other hand, the army and representatives of political parties and secular movements, which accuse the religious parties have twisted the revolution that toppled Mubarak to have concentrated all power in their hands, without taking into account the needs of minorities. If you look at the distribution of the force, the comparison is unequal, with the armed forces deployed in support of the incumbent government and then against the Islamists, but this strength can also become a significant weak side, if the Army chooses to abuse . The eyes of the international audience are just focused on how the military will be able to handle the difficult situation, playing the dual role of controller and uncomfortable and party. The position of Islamic parties for the moment seems adamant, most times its members have been called to be part of the transitional government but refused any compromise Mursi, also the Muslim Brotherhood have announced their withdrawal from the negotiations transition organized by interim president . The general situation of the country is so stuck in a stalemate that seems no way out. If the army can not and does not want to go back to a situation where the religious element was predominant, the Islamists, who had come to power by peaceful means, more and more entrenched in their position also due to the wave of arrests that he beheaded the movement, plus the appeal of the strong man of the government, General Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, who plays the role of Minister of Defence, to have a mandate from all Egyptians honest to put an end to violence and terrorism, even more exasperated the minds of the confessional. This appeal has been interpreted as a real call to civil war, which, in truth, it seems already begun, although far smaller scale. The situation is unsustainable without an agreement between the two parties, for the army rule by force is viable only for a limited time while Islamist parties return to power is no longer possible for the situation that they themselves have created abusing power received by the people. According to analysts' forecasts the popularity of Islamic parties would have fallen, even for their inability to handle the difficult economic situation, concerned only to make it comply with the religious precepts of the Egyptian society. Failed every attempt at conciliation by the new government, there is no other solution but to accelerate the electoral competition under the supervision of international organizations, however, this remedy does not allow immediate pacification of the country which would need. If the next event should take place without violence would be a good starting point to look for a path of dialogue, conversely the fate of Egypt remains wrapped in a big question mark.

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