Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 9 gennaio 2014
Japan Shinzo abe takes a starring role for the country in Southeast Asia
In what is known as the key region of the world production , because it includes , China , South Korea and Japan , the role that Tokyo wants to play , after a year of government of Shinzo Abe , is that of the protagonist . Against the backdrop of a world situation , likened by historian David Stevenson, similar to the situation in Europe in 1914 , characterized , that is , the presence of a dominant player , the USA, on the wane , but not quite balanced by the subject emerging , China, which encounters difficulties in effectively clear the role of a great power, Japan seeks to carve out its position in a very difficult environment for the historical legacy and the new territorial disputes , all within a plural rearmament , which can bring the region to the brink of a dangerous conflict. Shinzo Abe has started to make a turn to the Japanese country through an aggressive economic policy in order to overcome the stagnation that plagued the country. For now we have only seen the positive effects of this expansionary policy , that it will not be consolidated may have future effects heavy inflation , however, the salient point of the action of Shinzo Abe , lies in foreign policy and in the variation of the Constitutional Charter of the country , used to establish the transition from a purely defensive military posture to one that could allow an organic structure to the needs of framing in integrated security systems with the greatest ally : the U.S. . In fact, this reason is not the only real reason to justify the huge military budget Japanese : the growing importance of China's military , to support increased its geopolitical ambitions , has aroused great concern in a country , such as Japanese , where the party majority , that of prime minister, has won the last election campaign by setting its national pride . What is at stake is the regional leadership , which can yield substantial economic benefits through the exclusive economic zone management and control of the streets of the goods. If it is objectively difficult that Japan could undermine this primacy to China, with the help of the United States , the goal of Shinzo Abe is to ensure, however jeep to an important position on the regional chessboard , even at the expense of allied countries as South Korea what has been created and is constantly evolving , it is a scenario where uncertainty and the precarious balance are the key features , because it is not only countries on opposing sides to be present, but also relationships that are likely to be compromised in solid alliances . The aversion that arouses Japan because of its leader , who visited the site in a provocative way a Shinto shrine, where they were buried war criminals , is not felt only in Beijing but also in Seoul , because of the behavior of the troops Japanese occupation during the Second World War . These feelings are never completely dormant , the national propaganda , Chinese and South Korean reproduce to compact the respective public opinions against Tokyo since she left the scramble for islands and , above all, the marine deposits beneath them , and also the effective sovereignty over their exclusive economic zones , which extend in the waters facing their countries. Japan, in relation to these issues , with the arrival in power of Abe , has taken a decidedly conduct more intransigent and unwilling to a negotiated solution , with the result of having exacerbated the situation always on the verge of a potential conflict. For the U.S. the effect is twofold: if , on the one hand , Washington has the security of having a loyal ally and better armed , on the other hand , he is conscious of having at his side a country become intransigent and unwilling to solutions traded , which complicates relations with main rival , China , and also with a valuable ally , South Korea the U.S. is in danger , as well , to be totally internal to arbitrate a dispute that lead to the alliance and that can weaken politically , right in front of Beijing. But Tokyo is conscious of its indispensability for American foreign policy in Southeast Asia and it seems to take advantage of this condition , repeating the situation , with all the caveats of the case , that the U.S. is suffering in the Middle East since Israel's behavior .
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