Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 6 marzo 2014
NATO suspends relations with Russia
Had largely been expected, but now NATO announces the first forms of retaliation against Russia. The invasion of the Crimea, formally the Ukrainian territory , will result in the suspension of joint missions that the Atlantic Alliance is developing jointly with Russia. The first effect is the termination of the joint for the disposal of chemical weapons Syria , that does not mean that the operation is also suspended , but it will continue without the cooperation with the navy in Moscow. Another effect is the suspension of military meetings already planned between NATO and Russia. With this decision, the Atlantic Alliance closes a very important diplomatic channel with the Kremlin , whose long-term effects , in the case of continuation of the decision would be highly detrimental to NATO itself , beyond the isolation that you want to impose on Russia. The current line of NATO , however, is to send a strong message to Putin , whose substance is not to leave unpunished the Russian invasion . These decisions are , for the moment, provisional because they require the ratification of the twenty-eight members of the Atlantic Alliance , which will decide officially in a meeting to be held in the month of April. The consequences , however , is announcing the immediate and inevitable rethink the situation of the Cold War , with the contrast between the two blocs. Also because the Atlantic Alliance was solicited with reference to Article 4 of the Treaty , which provides that a request for help from a member country of the organization when they feel threatened , Poland , a country that borders on the ' Ukraine. The presence of NATO member country on the border with Ukraine, as well as Poland also , Slovakia, Hungary and Romania , it represents a further potential danger factor , given the military practice of alerting its armed forces in the event of unrest or political instability in the neighboring country. It is understandable that the request of Poland to NATO could be only the first , triggering procedures for the use of NATO forces to be deployed along the border of Ukraine. This step, if undertaken , could significantly raise the tension between Moscow and Brussels. But beyond this scenario, which is a negative but likely hypothesis , it is clear that at this moment the relations between NATO and Russia grossly compromised. On the side of relations with Ukraine, also , the Atlantic Alliance has decided to strengthen military cooperation with Kiev, increasing its military capacity and training of the troops. This decision, while taking a collaborative framework that does not infringe international law, could be interpreted by Russia as an undue interference in what is considered an internal affair and making it potentially cause further aggravation of the situation. Russian Ukrainian tactics on the field is to send soldiers without identifying marks on the streets of the cities of the Crimea arguing that it is local militiamen who practice self-defense. If you were to realize , on the contrary , the presence of NATO members, even as military instructors , the Russian armed forces may choose to advance further into the territory of Ukraine , as it was feared ? And if this occurs in what you would encounter ?
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