Turkey threatened by the Islamic State

A video of the Islamic State puts Turkey at the center of a media offensive, which makes Ankara the new target of the caliphate. The accusations against the government and the president turkish, Erdogan, which are the expression of an Islamic party, albeit moderate, are to have confused democracy with Islam, to promote secularism and to have helped the United States, providing the airbase from which started air strikes against the caliphate. These charges represent a fundamental change in attitude on the part of the Islamic state on Turkey, which, until now, had been ignored by the proclamations of the caliphate. Now, on the contrary, in the programs of the terrorists would win the country to submit to the sovereignty of the Islamic state. These threats are obviously not achievable with a conventional military confrontation, the Turkish armed forces are among the most equipped of the region and, in the case of a conflict would be easy because of the forces of the caliphate; More dangerous is the way that the Islamists have already begun to walk with the bomb attack in recent weeks: Turkey could be subject to terrorist attacks carried out by cells of a few people or even individual items, virtually impossible to prevent. The resentment of the Islamic state would be due to the changed attitude of Turkey, which occurred on US pressure, which resulted in the aerial operations on the workstations of the caliphate. But if this seems to be the reason for the occurrence, the aversion of the caliphate could result from a kind of betrayal that Ankara would have perpetrated the Islamic State, after sustained early in his training, most for instrumental reasons, that for firm support. Ankara hoped to maneuver militias that gave birth to the caliphate, hoping to topple Assad and the Syrian regime and to fight the Kurds, often defined by the President of the Islamic State Erdogan more dangerous for the security of Turkey. To reinforce this thesis there are also threats to the house reign Arabia, which, at first, had behaved true caliphate in a similar way to the turkish government. The threat of the Islamic state also marks a tactical defeat for Turkey, which risks losing the chance of peace with the Kurds and is now subjected to the real danger of Islamic terrorism, then attacked on two fronts. The threat of the Islamic state, also, does not come only from the outside, according to some estimates the Turkish sympathizers of the Islamic state would be well to one point three percent of the population and the fighters from Turkey, enrolled in the ranks of the caliphate would have some thousands. For the organization Islamic state, these data represent the best values ​​in perspective of new enrollments or at least the creation of a state of favor towards Muslim extremism in Turkey, the rest of the political action of Erdogan, who founded his own political power the mingling of politics and religion, has in a sense, prepared benevolence, fortunately contained, to the caliphate from the social part more inclined to see welcome the intrusion of religious precepts in the political sphere. The error of Erdogan, both in foreign policy, in which the inner one, was to be able to control, and in a certain way to manage, these extremist circles; the result, as well as an illiberal political conduct that has brought the country back in history, has been to subject Turkey to the danger of terrorism far more dangerous than Kurdish, with which you could reach a peace agreement. Event that does not seem possible with the Islamic state, which, until now, has not come to terms with anyone. Erdogan real risk of finding themselves in such a dead end, from which it can go out or giving up power or raise the secular state, to strengthen the Turkish society against religious extremism and find peace with the Kurds to have at least one opponent less . These are also the basis for allowing Turkey to resume the interrupted with Europe, whose applications were those starting to expand civil rights, whose lack of development has favored the sympathies towards Islamic fundamentalism.