Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 9 ottobre 2015
Libya: to reach agreement on a single government
On
the eve of the expiry of its mandate, the United Nations envoy,
Bernardino Leon, reached an agreement to establish a national unity
government in Libya. This
result comes after months of grueling negotiations, which took place
with a domestic situation very serious, where the presence of continuous
armed clashes approached the Libyan country to a situation of civil
war, with the outline of a grave humanitarian situation that affects
more than 2.4 million of people. After
the death of Gaddafi's Libya has been plunged into a state of
lawlessness due to the presence of numerous armed gangs, who often made
reference to the Islamists, favored, in their action, the absence of a
political alternative that could fill the vacuum left by the end of the dictatorship. The
fundamental error of the Western powers engaged militarily against
Gaddafi was that, after the defeat of the regular troops of Tripoli, not
to guard a territory, where the total conditioning of the dictatorship
had cleared every possible form of organized opposition and where the
only structures tolerated they were the clans; this
social organization, of course divided into portions of territory well
defined, could not be congenial to a shift of power able to immediately
replace the previous state organization. Without
the land, which involved a considerable commitment with the presence of
ground troops, coupled with effective support aimed at the construction
of the necessary organization to support a state government to be
formed from scratch, the Libyan country is plunged into an internal
conflict, that
he was responsible, among other things, the increase of migration to
Europe through Italy and a situation of profound instability in the
southern shores of the Mediterranean, so very close to the coasts of
Europe. The agreement does not resolve the issue, but it is an important starting point, which until now had not yet arrived. Materially
the two delegations gathered in Morocco came to agree on a list
containing names of the possible candidates to lead the country, this
list must now be examined by the two governments opposed to Tobruk and
Tripoli. The hope is to meet with the approval, if not of all the Libyan people, at least the larger part of the country; the
list included personalities from both parliaments to balance the
opposing forces, which differ, it should be remembered, for a different
setting of the political forces that make up. While
the parliament of Tobruk, is less affected by the presence of religious
movements that Tripoli is linked to the Muslim Brotherhood and came to
power thanks to the religious militias, usurping what forced to flee in
Tobruk, although he was legitimately elected. Of
course to achieve peace and stability in the country the deal had not
considered as impediment because the position of the illegitimate
parliament of Tripoli, but what it entails, even if implicitly,
international recognition, which so far had been denied. The
international community, in fact, unanimously, had always given formal
recognition to parliament fled to Tobruk and now will be in an awkward
position, forced to talk to the representatives mainly linked to
sectarian movements, which rotates around a galaxy formations probably
also involved with the trafficking of weapons and human beings, the
latter used as a means to blackmail Western governments, a mode that
follows those already widely used by the Gaddafi. It
is not excluded that precisely the pressure on Europe by the increased
flow of migrants has led Western countries to a softer attitude towards
the parliament in Tripoli to facilitate a common solution, that also
aims to avoid any kind of military action against human traffickers, repeatedly threatened. In
addition to these problems must be added that, perhaps, in some ways,
even more serious, the presence in the region of Sirte of the Islamic
state, which can represent a real threat, and that could only thrive
thanks to the deep rivalry between the two parliaments and It can be defeated only by a united Libya and governed by an executive legitimized.
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