Politica Internazionale

Politica Internazionale

Cerca nel blog

lunedì 14 marzo 2016

They share the peace negotiations for Syria, with the unknown Assad.

Assad The problem remains the central point in the peace negotiations under way in Geneva. For the Syrian opposition in the country a peaceful transition of power is essential to the dismissal of the Damascus dictator, opposed position by the regime, which poses as a necessary condition for continuing negotiations, the exclusion of a withdrawal from the Syrian political scene of the President of the country. It is not clear whether that condition is transient, either, that is, the current functional status of the situation or may be later modified. In fact the possibility of an eventual release of the final scene of Assad appear remote: Russian aid and support of Iran returned an international player, are sufficient safeguards to prevent the removal of power. Even in the case of democratic elections, provided that you are able to do and to take place with equal criteria for all competitors, Assad still has the possibility of indirect control of many administrative areas and could take advantage of it without difficulty. The Damascus government relies on what he thinks the symbol of the sovereignty of the Republic of Syria, as a guarantee of the success of the negotiations, especially in key anti Islamic state and, therefore, believes that at this stage of negotiations, a deal relating to a speech transition of power, both ward off the real goal, which is to maintain the truce and to prevent the consequences of the fighting on civilians. This is the answer to what is requested by the High National Committee on the negotiations, the body that represents the opposition to Assad, who was waiting for a new schedule of meetings, with the aim of arriving at elections, in which the dictator of Damascus not he could apply, with the first significant step in starting their own transition. This distance between the two parties is considerable, however, the negotiations begin to coincide with the anniversary of the start of the Syrian war, the fifth, which resulted in a humanitarian disaster of great proportions, with more than 250,000 deaths, a health situation in the country emergency level, with the consequence of having opened a large migration to the European countries. Currently the fragile truce seems to resist and the ceasefire has had only small relief of violations, this aspect is considered very important by the negotiators and provide a basis on which to develop the indispensable starting negotiations for a more secure peace. The difficulties in advancing the negotiations are very present in the United Nations envoys, as well as the absence of a viable alternative further: in this regard Staffan de Mistura said expressly that a failure of the negotiations would reopen the conflict, probably even more It lasts. Certainly there are elements capable of disrupting the negotiations, such as the Kurdish question, with the Turks who have prevented representatives of Kurdish fighters, US allies, to participate in negotiations and the same attitude of Ankara and Saudi Arabia, strongly opposed to Assad, which is balanced by the attitude the Russian and Iranian. This series of meetings should be terminated on March 24, but were unsuccessful negotiators will have to resort again to the most influential parts of the International Support Group on Syria: US, Russia and the United Nations Security Council.

Nessun commento:

Posta un commento