Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 24 aprile 2017
Turkey and Europe increasingly distant
Many
commentators have seen the outcome of the Turkish referendum and, above
all, how the presidency of the presidency was made, such as the
definitive blockade of a process of rapprochement between Ankara and
Brussels. Actually
wanting to say that this possibility was still concrete was merely a
mere political illusion or perhaps an instrument for continuing to
delegate, on the part of Europe, the Turkish government to work to stop
immigrants on behalf of the Union. The
progressive limitation of political and social rights, which Erdogan
has gone hand in hand with an ever-increasing attenuation of the
secularity of Turkish society in favor of an increasingly intensified
Islamization, have been the real motives of the respective retreat
between the two parties , That the outcome of the referendum is only to say, as a logical development of the Turkish president's policy. Erdogan
has done all he does not want to meet the requirements demanded by
Brussels so that it is legitimate to wonder if this conduct was not
explicitly wanted precisely to not enter Europe. It
is only in Turkey that the death penalty is restored, which probably
will take place in some time, in order to render the distance between
the two parts completely unbearable. Changing
a form of government is a legitimate act of a country, which in itself
does not imply an authoritarian move, provided that there are no
concrete signs of concern such as censorship in the press and the
imprisonment of a whole A series of state officials opposed to government policy in office. Even
on the way in which presidentialism is approved, there can be no doubt
about the ways in which contrary propaganda is exercised, which has not
been given the necessary space on television and newspapers, a factor
closely linked to the country's censorship , Up to the quorum of the referendum, which envisioned victory by the simple majority rather than a qualified majority. The
considerably reduced distance between proponents of the approval of
presidentialism and opposition has returned the image of a country
divided into virtually two equal parts, where the difference of
one-comma three percent appears significant only to attribute the final
victory, but not To justify such a change of form of government. If,
then, the doubts concerning the modalities and the counting of the
votes are added, with the admission of the valid cards even those that
are not stamped, one understands how the doubts of the legitimacy of the
outcome and of the whole process Concluded with the adoption of the presidential system, caused much suspicion on Erdogan's work. The
Turkish president reached the desired outcome, saying that democracy is
not canceled and that his person is only passing, but there are
concrete possibilities for Erdogan to remain in power for another ten
years: an abnormal situation in a country that is wanted Define democratic. The problem remains with the relationship between the European Union and Turkey, which are likely to become pure antagonisms; If
in the short term Ankara serves in Brussels for migrants, which, in any
case, must be resolved in one way or another, due to the treatment of
refugees in Turkish territory, in the medium and long term, Turkey and Is likely to pay a very high tax on the ambitions of the referendum winner. The
shortage of foreign investment is likely to become almost complete, and
the economic invasion of the country will only reflect on political
stability. Turkey,
indeed, can look east and enter the association of countries that
includes, among other Russia and China, but it can do so subordinately
and without the guarantees that entry into Europe could have provided. The
fate of a country, any country, not only of the Turkish one, undergoing
political invasion is to enter into a climate of deep instability that
is likely to affect the region and also supranational equilibrium, such
as the Atlantic Alliance, in the case of Of Turkey. If
Ankara, as it turns out, is moving away from Europe, it will also move
away from the western world and will thus fall to the minimum, even
minimal safeguards, capable of maintaining some modernity in the
country, which seems to have led to more and more obscurantism Pronounced.
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