Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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lunedì 9 aprile 2018
On Syria, Trump accuses Putin
The
attack of Assad, with chemical weapons, against the defenseless
population, living in the area near Damascus controlled by the rebels,
once again highlighted the violence of Damascus, perpetrated outside the
international conventions. On
the political level the most important consequence is represented by
the reaction of the American president, Trump, who has explicitly
accused Putin, and therefore Russia, of being responsible for the
massacre because he protected the dictator of Damascus. This is the first time Trump attacks in a personal way, which until now has never happened. The
accusation directly addressed to the head of the Kremlin is a novelty
in the relations between the two political figures, who, despite the
certainly not excellent relations between Russia and the United States,
have always avoided being involved directly in political skirmishes. Even
if such incidents had already, unfortunately, occurred, Trump had
always preserved Putin from direct attacks, an attitude that had been
explained by analysts with the affinities that the two characters have
in common. Trump's
direct attack can mean that the US president has been forced by the US
diplomatic and military world to point out a distance from Putin, both
for the methods used, and to prepare the world public opinion for a
confrontation in which the United States they could be committed in the first person. However
it seems difficult that this eventuality becomes concrete: Trump does
not want to be involved in a dangerous conflict and could make these
statements to prevent a failure to take a position on the incident could
harm American prestige. It
is no accident that the current White House tenant blamed the situation
on Obama's management, which did not act against Assad, when he used
the chemical weapons, already at the beginning of the Syrian crisis. Trump
has threatened to hit Syria in response to the use of chemical weapons,
it would be the second case, after what happened in April 2017,
precisely as a result of the use of chemical weapons against civilians. For now, as confirmed by the US military, each option is being evaluated. There
is, however, a possible other reason, not necessarily an alternative to
that previously illustrated, but complementary to it, about the causes
of the direct attack on President Putin. The
severity of the attack and its methods justify the frontal attack on
Putin, which also occurs in a moment of difficulty for Trump for
possible Russian involvement in his election. Given
that relations between the US and Russia are difficult to improve and
it is certainly impossible that they can come to a collaboration as
advocated by Trump and Putin, before and immediately after Trump's
election, the head of the White House could have definitively sacrificed
relations with his
Russian counterpart, to conquer a position of conflict that makes him
less vulnerable, on the political level, by the federal investigation on
the Russian interference during the presidential elections. If
the hypothesis were true, it would be a sign that Trump could be in
great difficulty, but also that he could use every opportunity from
international politics to his advantage; on
the other hand, the relationship with Putin seems irremediably
compromised and exalting the opposition between the two could also allow
for gaining consensus within the administration of the White House,
even in those sectors that have been so far more reluctant.
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