Uncertain situation in the United States

 

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The end of the American elections did not coincide with the proclamation of the winner and this risks plunging the country into an institutional crisis even worse than that of 1974, which culminated in the resignation of President Nixon. The first concrete risk is the institutional paralysis of the country until 14 December, the day on which the electoral college will meet to ratify the winner of the elections; up to now this meeting has been a formal practice, an institutional passage for the appointment of the president, but with the current situation characterized by Trump's strategy of exercising legal recourse against the results of some states. This behavior is consistent with the story of the American president, who, during his professional life, filed about 1,600 lawsuits, appealing to justice once every eleven days; recourse to justice usually proceeds in parallel with a tactic of attrition and postponements, a real set of techniques to delay the definition of the cause, which have the purpose of postponing the occurrence of situations potentially unfavorable to his objectives. If this was the conduct that marked his professional activity, it seems reasonable to believe that this will also be applied to retain what is considered the most important position in the country. It seems obvious that Trump does not want to do his country a good service, but only to himself; this represents the pinnacle of a very bad presidency and the worst point, if possible, of a year already marked by the most serious racial unrest since 1968 and by the poor management of the pandemic, which resulted in as many as 233,000 deaths, a figure in stark contrast with the image of the USA, which Trump himself wants to present; after all, also the declaration in which he proclaimed himself the winner of the electoral contest and the definition given to the counting of postal votes, a possibility widely recognized by the law in force, as a fraud and the desire to request the Supreme Court, which he previously modeled in his measure, does nothing but confirm the paucity of the character and his inadequacy to fill the role of American president. However, although currently at a disadvantage, his defeat is still not certain and the outcome of the vote is still in the balance, despite defeats in important states where Trump had built his victory in the last elections. The game is all about the numbers of the big voters as Biden with his 69.5 million votes has become the most voted presidential candidate ever in the history of the United States, but this supremacy may not be enough and Trump could repeat the performance of the last election, when it became prevailed, despite Clinton's two million more votes. The climate of radicalization of American politics, with the division that has changed from politics to social, is causing a dangerous drift in the US country, which presents itself at the end of the elections increasingly divided and with the concrete danger that the confrontation will shift to the streets and in the squares. The respective supporters have already started demonstrations of support for their candidate and some clashes have already occurred, quelled by the police. Trump's conduct, which does not seem to resign himself to the possible defeat, risks involving in the confrontation the many autonomous groups with weapons, which support him and who feel cheated of the victory of their candidate. The scenario is that of a split country where a spiral of violence could be created; were it not for the complexity of American democratic structures, all the elements for a sort of civil war could be concretized. On the political level, the Republican Party has achieved a good success, which would not allow Biden to have a majority in the two branches of parliament and this political data, in contrast with the possible defeat of Trump, opens a gap between the structure of the Republicans and the their candidate, who in recent years has been suffered by a large part of the party, sometimes in complete disagreement with the policy and behavior of the President. For the Republicans, who in several cases have condemned the tactics used by Trump to contest the counting of the votes, it could finally be an opportunity to reorganize the party according to a more traditional policy and in keeping with the values ​​of the party, setting aside the extremisms of the Tea party , which took Trump to the White House. It would be a first step for the reconciliation of the country and to allow the United States a policy more in keeping with its role as the first world power.