The scenario Syria after the failure of the Geneva

The failure of the negotiations for Syria is not surprising, because it responds to the tactics that Assad has used since the beginning of the conflict, seek the objective of gaining time . Once again, the dictator of Damascus achieves its purpose and prolong its time waiting for some development in his favor . It is surprising , rather, that both the UN, the U.S. will continue to give credit to Assad , expecting the results impossible. The Syrian government is responsible for having caused the failure of the negotiations in Geneva , as it is responsible for implementing disposal of chemical weapons slowed down . In both cases it is not possible to discern a common design , which follows the same theme: the granting of a few things, that is enough to ward off possible retaliation and then return to implement the ferocious repression of opponents , contrary to every rule . The general situation of the war, at the international level , now threatens to call the United States for their role as world policeman , a certain condition is not appreciated by Obama. Finding a solution just for the cease-fire , it does not appear easy without the use of external contingents on the ground or the use of air power able to enforce a no-fly zone that knows how to force the air force Assad to cease bombing of rebel areas , which have caused many civilian casualties . Both options are not viable for the only way to the supranational level : that of the UN Security Council , blocked by the veto of China, but especially from the Russian one. Moscow has been explicitly accused John Kerry of helping the regime in Damascus constantly with military supplies , while negotiations were ongoing . The prosecution is heavy is not bound to have consequences , first of all, even to block the last remaining hopes on the peace process . On the other hand, the Kremlin's behavior was not totally linear , because it is not impartial in the matter , for Russia, Syria continues to be strategic because it is the only military base in Moscow in the Mediterranean and this privilege can only assure Assad . The democratic opposition , in fact, if you win , you should not keep this privilege to the military fleet of Putin because Russia considers too colluding with the regime in Damascus . Also in Moscow fear the advance of Islamic ch control the north east of Syria, because their rise to power could favor the expansion of Islamic fundamentalism in the Caucasus . This concern is also shared by Washington, is the only point in common , which is currently shared between the U.S. and Russia on the Syrian War . On the other hand precisely this fear has prevented the White House to provide more help to the forces of democratic opposition , because it was feared that such aid might end up to the fundamentalists . How do you see the situation after the end of inconclusive talks in Geneva , it is locked and the only way out is a possible intervention outside the perimeter of the UN. Discarding the entry of ground troops interposer solution that Washington has never taken into consideration, and that , at worst, could be implemented by soldiers from Arab countries , however, the unknown that would trigger an Iranian reaction , the most viable solution is the establishment of a no-fly zone , even without the backing of the Security Council . This could allow the development of more balanced conflict , given that the rebels do not have aircraft , which could have the effect of releasing the solution of the transitional government . It would not be a permanent solution , given the complexity of the negotiation of the future of Assad , but you might get a cease-fire and, above all , the end of the bombing of rebel areas , which had as its object the residential districts , more than the military objectives. But to do this we need first of all international actors politicians prepared to take responsibility for that act. In addition to the U.S., only the Arab League and the EU could work towards this goal . Faced with a decision of all three of these subjects , even Russia is expected to fall more merciful .